Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.840062 0.944468 1.058217 1.191575 1.343924 1.512871 1.714870
2025-02-02 0.688631 0.832195 1.001648 1.217405 1.486215 1.811898 2.239109
2025-02-09 0.599705 0.759772 0.958932 1.226892 1.580950 2.036841 2.674896
2025-02-16 0.534554 0.703516 0.922923 1.231771 1.660196 2.240681 3.099001
2025-02-23 0.490559 0.667212 0.905277 1.253916 1.758782 2.474644 3.586904
2025-03-02 0.438351 0.612931 0.855686 1.223365 1.775792 2.590473 3.912217
2025-03-09 0.410726 0.589616 0.845907 1.246851 1.871125 2.827703 4.447108
2025-03-16 0.377451 0.554464 0.814805 1.233888 1.907422 2.975482 4.854422
2025-03-23 0.354779 0.532737 0.801122 1.245208 1.981186 3.187952 5.392598
2025-03-30 0.328134 0.502432 0.771240 1.227117 2.003816 3.316512 5.798756
2025-04-06 0.306781 0.478539 0.749138 1.219023 2.041214 3.472201 6.270720
2025-04-13 0.278495 0.441292 0.702455 1.165169 1.993493 3.472040 6.449056
2025-04-20 0.266302 0.429810 0.697746 1.183870 2.077962 3.722705 7.152206
2025-04-27 0.255809 0.420363 0.695683 1.207015 2.172974 4.003976 7.958008
2025-05-04 0.243984 0.407648 0.686805 1.216660 2.242976 4.243987 8.710962
2025-05-11 0.232430 0.394486 0.675990 1.221468 2.303616 4.471381 9.468459
2025-05-18 0.224403 0.386918 0.674456 1.243409 2.399901 4.781573 10.456042
2025-05-25 0.209602 0.366103 0.647216 1.213143 2.386885 4.860401 10.918984
2025-06-01 0.203237 0.360254 0.647199 1.236411 2.487087 5.193848 12.040506
2025-06-08 0.192686 0.345892 0.630048 1.223569 2.508915 5.355873 12.762797
2025-06-15 0.185877 0.338115 0.624901 1.234783 2.583895 5.646572 13.858329
2025-06-22 0.176138 0.324094 0.606601 1.216860 2.592086 5.782256 14.566351
2025-06-29 0.168198 0.313071 0.593474 1.208842 2.621904 5.972751 15.453804